{"id":156011,"date":"2020-11-23T10:58:26","date_gmt":"2020-11-23T15:58:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.thedetroitbureau.com\/?p=156011"},"modified":"2020-11-23T11:01:23","modified_gmt":"2020-11-23T16:01:23","slug":"end-of-the-oil-era","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/2020\/11\/end-of-the-oil-era\/","title":{"rendered":"End of the \u201cOil Era\u201d?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/a>
A new study suggests that rising acceptance and sales of EVs is part of the reason that oil sales will decline going forward.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

An upcoming boom in EV sales, notably in China, will bring to an end the \u201coil era,\u201d according to a new study by research firm Carbon Tracker.<\/p>\n

While the need for oil won\u2019t end anytime soon, growth in demand will drop by 70%, the study forecast, while the switch to renewable energy could save hundreds of billions of dollars, especially for emerging markets.<\/p>\n

\u201cThis is a simple choice between growing dependency on what has been expensive oil produced by a foreign cartel, or domestic electricity produced by renewable sources whose prices fall over time,\u201d wrote Kingsmill Bond, the lead author of the Carbon Tracker report.<\/p>\n

(EVs cost half as much as\u00a0gas-powered vehicles for maintenance.)<\/a><\/u><\/i><\/strong><\/p>\n

Two key, ongoing developments anchor the forecast: the emerging market for battery-electric vehicles, or BEVs, and the increased use of renewable energy sources such as wind and solar. Researchers noted that the cost of both technologies has begun falling rapidly. It has been widely forecast that the price of a battery car will reach parity with a comparable gas model within the next five to seven years.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
The use of oil in automotive applications may be moving off into the sunset, it’s going to take a while.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

And, with the cost for solar and wind generation also on the decline, Carbon Tracker said that using such sources to power a car will become 10 times less expensive than importing oil to run a vehicle with an internal combustion engine.<\/p>\n

The study used what the authors described as a \u201cconservative\u201d scenario laid out by the International Energy Agency. According to the IEA, BEVs will account for 20% of new vehicle sales in India and other emerging markets by 2030, and 40% in China.<\/p>\n

The Chinese government recently put in place a new target calling for plug-based vehicles \u2013 including both BEVs and PHEVs \u2013 to reach 20% of the market by 2025. Longer term, the country\u2019s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology set a target of reaching 50% by 2035. According to the Carbon Tracker report, China could save as much as $80 billion annually by reducing oil imports by 2030. The study did not directly address the additional benefits of reducing China\u2019s endemic smog problems.<\/p>\n

(Public EV charging companies switching to more logical pricing plans.)<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

India, meanwhile, has set a tentative goal of banning the sale of new vehicles using internal combustion engines entirely. All told, emerging markets could save $250 billion annually, the Carbon Tracker study forecast. Currently, oil imports account for 1.5% of China\u2019s GDP and 2.6% of India\u2019s.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
China is taking dramatic steps to improve the air quality in its largest cities. One of those is to push for higher EV sales.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Similar strategies are being enacted in a number of developed markets, such as Norway. And the UK last week set 2030 as its date for an IC vehicle ban. The report did not offer estimates of what reduced oil demand in the U.S., Europe or other developed countries might yield in savings.<\/p>\n

The shift away from oil to electricity to power tens of millions of vehicles \u2013 as well as a growing share of the global energy grid \u2013 will have a big impact on the petroleum industry, Carbon Tracker and other researchers indicate.<\/p>\n

“Emerging market importers will bring the oil era to an end,\u201d said Carbon Tracker\u2019s Bond.<\/p>\n

(Fifteen states join forces to push for an all-electric heavy truck fleet.)<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

“Factor in the war on plastics hitting petrochemical demand and rising EV penetration in developed markets, it becomes ever more likely that we have seen peak oil demand in 2019,” he added.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

An upcoming boom in EV sales, notably in China, will bring to an end the \u201coil era,\u201d according to a new study. While the need for oil won\u2019t end soon, growth in demand will drop by 70%, the study forecast, while the switch to renewable energy could save hundreds of billions of dollars, especially for emerging markets, reports TheDetroitBureau.com.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":155683,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8,5,10,13,12,9],"tags":[],"make":[],"post-state":[],"category_old":[118,140,286,150,151,123,287,153,319,142,289,155,299,158,154,132,130,284,125,297,121,139,290,291,288],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/156011"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=156011"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/156011\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/155683"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=156011"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=156011"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=156011"},{"taxonomy":"make","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/make?post=156011"},{"taxonomy":"post-state","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/post-state?post=156011"},{"taxonomy":"category_old","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thedetroitbureau.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/category_old?post=156011"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}