Nissan and several other automakers have promised to put the first fully autonomous vehicles into production by the end of the decade, and industry analysts suggest the technology could become increasingly commonplace in the years to follow. That, of course, raises one basic question: will consumers buy vehicles that can drive themselves?
Despite a fair amount of skepticism, the answer appears to be yes. Interest in autonomous driving is growing, according to a new survey by CarInsurance.com, which found the one in five drivers were interested in systems that could help pilot a vehicle, many potential buyers saying they would never again take the wheel again if a self-driving, or autonomous, car were available.
While 20% of the 2,000 licensed drivers surveyed said they would turn over the keys, interest in autonomous vehicles increased when the prospect of reduced insurance rates was introduced into the equation.
“Our survey shows cheaper insurance will greatly influence consumer acceptance,” said CarInsurance.com managing editor Des Toups.
Insurance and liability are considered critical issues to the development of autonomous technology, especially in the litigious U.S. Nissan Executive Vice President Andy Palmer – who oversees that maker’s autonomous vehicle program – has warned that without safeguards to prevent a flood of lawsuits, the Japanese maker might introduce its first self-driving vehicle in “other markets.”
(New Ford, Toyota systems can steer clear of pedestrians, parked cars. Click Here for more.)
Advocates actually hope that autonomous technology will reduce the number of vehicle crashes, injuries and fatalities on America’s roads. But the concern is that any incident involving a self-driving vehicle could lead to aggressive legal actions that would drive up insurance costs. On the other hand, fewer crashes could wind up lowering insurance rates.
“Some of the liability of operating a car will doubtless be assumed by the manufacturer,” said CarInsurance.com editor Toups. “But a lot of the decrease in rates could come simply because there would be many fewer accidents.”
More than a third of those surveyed said an 80% discount on car insurance rates would make purchase of an autonomous vehicle “very likely,” and 90% of drivers said they would at least consider the idea.
Cars that park themselves, navigate stop-and-go-traffic or avert an impending collision are already on U.S. roads today. Nissan has promised to put a fully autonomous vehicle — one that allows a computer to assume control under the right conditions – into production by 2020. A fully automated vehicle that doesn’t need a human operator to at least be ready to take control in an emergency could someday follow.
(Technology joins the fight against distracted driving. Click Here to find out how.)
However, 64% of respondents also said computers were not capable of the same quality of decision-making that human drivers exhibit. Meanwhile, 75% said they can drive a car better than a computer could, while 75% said they would not trust a driverless car to take their children to school.
The survey also asked consumers which companies they would trust most to deliver driverless-car technology and 18% said a start-up automaker such as Tesla, with another 15% pointing to a software company such as Google or Microsoft. But the majority, 54% said they would trust a traditional automakers such as Ford or Toyota.
(Tokyo Motor Show brings out the world’s wildest, weirdest and wackiest concept cars. Click Here to check them out.)
Asked what they would do with their time in the car 26% of the respondents said they would talk or text with friends; 21% said they would read, 8% said they would watch a movie, while 9% said they would watch the scenery and 7% said they would work.