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Analysts: Expect Moderate Auto Sales Growth

Economic woes continue to keep shoppers from buying new cars.

by on Mar.30, 2011

CAR's Sean McAlinden, left, and Canadian auto analyst Dennis DesRosiers answer questions about the state of the U.S. auto industry.

While some still hold out for huge buildup in auto sales, a pair of analysts said they believe the recovery will be moderate and steady through most of the current decade.

Speaking at the Center for Automotive Research’s Road to Renewal II conference in Dearborn, Canadian auto analyst Dennis DesRosiers said many consumers remain skeptical about buying a new car as the economy continues to come back from the worst recession since the Great Depression of the 1930s.

“It’s hard to sign up for a new vehicle when you see the value of your house going down every year,” DesRosiers said.

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Sean McAlinden, CAR’s executive vice president of research and chief economist, agreed that sales growth will be moderate. He projected 13.4 million vehicle sales in 2011, rising to 14.4 million in 2013 and 14.9 million in 2014. Then again, DesRosiers said he made his projections before the current crisis in Japan where the recent earthquake and tsunami threaten to stop production at auto plants all around the world.

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